Le Mans vs PSG: betting odds 4 Feb 2025

The Round of 16 match in the French Cup between Le Mans and PSG will take place on February 4 at the MMArena. Le Mans vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Le Mans

Patrick Vidéira's team advanced through the first three rounds of the national cup with victories in regular time, but in the Round of 32, they had a tough match against Valenciennes (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3). Notably, Le Mans has not lost after 90 minutes in six consecutive matches in this tournament (3 wins, 3 draws). However, the club has no significant achievements in the French Cup: the last time they reached the Round of 16 was in the 2008/09 season, losing 0-1 to Guingamp.

  • Both teams scored in 5 of Le Mans' last 7 games in the national cup.
  • The team has scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
  • In 4 of their last 5 home games in the French Cup, the club has not conceded more than two goals.

Projected lineup for Le Mans (5-3-2)

Evan Hatfout – Alexandre Lore, Théo Moën, Harold Voye, Vincent Bourlet, Zakari Lamghazez – Martin Rossignol, Anthony Ribelin, Gabin Bernardo – Dame Gueye, Arnold Vula.

PSG

The reigning champion and the most titled team in this tournament have advanced through two stages in the current edition. Luis Enrique's side first defeated Lens (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3), and in the last round, they overcame Espaly Saint-Marcel (4-2). Notably, before winning the 2023/24 French Cup, PSG failed to advance past the Round of 16 for two consecutive years. Additionally, PSG's goal-scoring streak in the national cup stands at 11 matches.

  • The team won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament (1 draw).
  • At least three goals were scored in 6 of the club's last 8 French Cup matches.
  • In 7 of their last 9 away games in the national cup, PSG scored at least 3 goals.

Projected lineup for PSG (3-4-3)

Arnau Tenas – João Neves, Lucas Hernandez, Yoram Zague – Fabián Ruiz, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Senny Mayulu, Axel Tappe-Kobrissa – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Désiré Doué.

Referee

Abdelatif Kerrachi (France)

Matches – 6 (French Cup, 2021/22–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 33%.

Le Mans vs. PSG: Match Prediction

There is little doubt about the outcome of the upcoming match. Even with a second-string lineup, which Luis Enrique is likely to field, PSG should comfortably secure a spot in the quarter-finals. The intrigue, in my opinion, will be whether Le Mans can score a goal. Considering PSG's defensive record, the hosts have a decent chance.

Luis Enrique's side has conceded in 6 of their last 7 French Cup matches. In the previous round, PSG's goal was breached twice by a National League representative, and in away games in the national cup, PSG has only two clean sheets in their last seven matches.

Le Mans has a 7-match goal-scoring streak in the French Cup. Additionally, they scored against PSG in their last head-to-head encounter in this tournament. I predict that we will see at least one goal from the hosts again. My prediction: Le Mans Individual Total Over 0.5

Betting tips 4 Feb 2025

Paris Saint-Germain’s unstoppable attack will treat this Tuesday fixture as little more than a warm-up against Le Mans, who were fortunate with the draw en route to the last 16.  A dominant Parisian victory is widely anticipated, with Matvei Safonov expected to start in goal and Luis Enrique likely to mix in some promising academy talents.

Despite an ongoing nine-match unbeaten streak, Le Mans remain a third-tier side. Their 1/16 final win over Valenciennes (2:1 on penalties) was far from convincing, as they allowed 1.72 xGA in 90 minutes. Their defensive setup, a deep-lying 5-3-2, is unlikely to pose any real problems for Paris Saint-Germain’s fluid attack.

Since 10 December, Paris Saint-Germain have won 11 of their last 12 matches across all competitions, scoring fewer than two goals in just three of them. Their form reached new heights in late January, producing a combined 5.22 xG against Manchester City (4:2) and Stuttgart (4:1) in the Champions League. On Saturday, they thrashed Stade Brestois (5:2), with Luis Enrique even comfortably substituting Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in the 58th minute. Meanwhile, Ousmane Dembélé netted his second hat-trick in a week—taking his tally to 11 goals in six matches this year.

Le Mans’ fairytale run in the cup will come to an end in emphatic fashion. Paris Saint-Germain will be eager to maintain their winning rhythm and should race into a 3 or 4 goal lead by half-time.

Betting prediction
Paris Saint-Germain (-2)
Cf
Odds
57/100
Bet now

Le Mans vs PSG Odds

Bonuses

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French Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Le Mans
14.01.25
Le Mans
Valenciennes
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
4
:
3
P
D
22.12.24
Unknown
Le Mans
W
30.11.24
Le Mans
Saint-Colomban Locminé
W
16.11.24
Vannes
Le Mans
W
More matches
PSG
15.01.25
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
PSG
W
22.12.24
Lens
PSG
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
3
:
4
P
D
More matches

H2H: Le Mans — PSG

Coupe de la Ligue French 2019-2020
18.12.19
Le Mans
PSG
1
:
4
French Cup 2010-2011
02.03.11
PSG
Le Mans
0
:
0
2
:
0
OT

Team lineups

Le Mans

P. Videira
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Ewan Hatfout
gk. 3 0
Alexandre Lauray
df. 3 1
Théo Eyoum Mouen
df. 3 0
Harold Voyer
df. 2 1
Samuel Rodrigue Wouahi Yohou
df. 2 0
Vincent Burlet
df. 2 0
Martin Rossignol
mf. 2 0
Anthony Ribelin
mf. 0 0
Gabin Bernardeau
mf. 0 0
Antoine Rabillard
fw. 3 2
Dame Guèye
fw. 3 2
Substitutes
Nicolas Kocik
gk. 0 0
Nathan Dekoke
df. 1 0
Jérémie Matumona Makanga
df. 0 0
Zakary Lamgahez
mf. 1 0
Adam Oudjani
mf. 0 0
Ali Ouchen
mf. 0 0
Zaïd Amir
fw. 2 0
Brice Oggad
fw. 1 0
Nathan Tronchet
fw. 0 0
PSG

Luis Enrique
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Matvei Safonov
gk. 1 0
Willian Joel Pacho Tenorio
df. 2 0
Lucas Hernandez
df. 1 0
Yoram Zague
df. 1 0
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
df. 0 0
Fabián Ruiz
mf. 2 0
Kang-In Lee
mf. 2 0
Senny Mayulu
mf. 1 0
Désiré Nonka-Maho Doué
fw. 2 1
Gonçalo Matias Ramos
fw. 2 2
Khvicha Kvarackhelija
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Arnau Tenas Ureña
gk. 1 -2
Louis Moise Nascimento Mouquet
gk. 0 0
Nuno Alexandre Tavares Mendes
df. 2 0
Achraf Hakimi
df. 1 0
Presnel Kimpembe
df. 0 0
Vítor Machado Ferreira
mf. 2 0
Axel Tape-Kobrissa
mf. 0 0
Bradley Laurent Barcola
fw. 2 1
Ousmane Dembélé
fw. 1 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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